Prediction markets expand into climate and weather betting despite expert concerns

Kalshi and Polymarket users are increasingly wagering on climate events and daily temperatures, prompting climate experts to warn that financializing weather and climate forecasts risks gamifying disasters.

First covered Sep 2, 2026 · 8:00 AM PT · 1 article · no longer in the live window

Coverage

24d Guardian Environment Temperature check: alarm as prediction markets lean into weather and climate bets — Climate experts warn that US Kalshi and Polymarket users are ‘gamifying disasters’ as they bet on events like heatwaves and daily temperatures Online…

Appeared in: 2026-09-03 (#16)

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