El Niño surge puts record global temperatures within reach in 2026-27

Forecasters warn that a rapidly intensifying El Niño, predicted to be the largest on record, combined with ongoing global warming will likely drive global temperatures to unprecedented levels in the coming years.

First covered Jul 22, 2026 · 5:00 PM PT · 2 articles

El Niño surge puts record global temperatures within reach in 2026-27 — Image via nature.com

Coverage

9h Carbon Brief State of the climate: Rapidly developing El Niño raises chance of record-warm 2026 — As 2026 passes its halfway point, the world is watching one of the most rapidly intensifying El Niño events in… The post State of the climate: Rapidly…

1d via Bluesky This El Niño is set to be the largest on record by a ‘mind-blowing margin’ — Forecasters predict that the monster climate pattern will combine with global warming to push global temperatures in 2027 to new heights.

Primary sources

cpc.ncep.noaa.gov Enso Evolution Status Fcsts Web (cpc.ncep.noaa.gov) — cited by 2 of the outlets above

climate.gov The Spring Predictability Barrier: we’d rather be on Spring Break

data.giss.nasa.gov Data.GISS: GISS Surface Temperature Analysis (GISTEMP v4)

More coverage from around the web

yaleclimateconnections.org This could be the strongest El Niño on record » Yale Climate Connections

earthsky.org El Niño is officially here! How strong will it get?

theclimatebrink.com The Strongest El Niño Ever - by Zeke Hausfather

columbia.edu www.columbia.edu

Discussion

Bluesky: @katharinehayhoe.com Katharine Hayhoe · 5h ago · 82 ♥ 2026 is on track to be the warmest (~35% chance) or second warmest (~63%) year on record, while 2027 is very likely (92% chance) to be the warmest on record on the back of a growing super El Niño event.

Appeared in: 2026-07-24 (#14)

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