U.S. crude output forecast to hit record 13.8 million barrels daily in 2026

The Energy Information Administration projects U.S. crude production will exceed 2025's record output, continuing a multi-year expansion driven by tight oil development in major shale formations.

First covered Sep 10, 2026 · 7:00 AM PT · 1 article · no longer in the live window

U.S. crude output forecast to hit record 13.8 million barrels daily in 2026 — Image via eia.gov

Coverage

16d EIA Today in Energy United States on track for record crude oil production in 2026 — We forecast U.S. crude oil production will average 13.8 million barrels per day (b/d) in 2026, surpassing the previous record of 13.7 million b/d set in 2025,…

Primary sources

dallasfed.org Energycharts (dallasfed.org)

energy.gov Department of Energy

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Appeared in: 2026-09-11 (#18)

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